2L was cutdown last night. It had already been a bit low but started dropping suddenly and unexpectedly.
The CME which was expected to hit on Feb. 2nd may or may not have arrived yet. There was definitely a bit of an increase and some compressions late last night. However some sources are saying that it won't be here until Feb. 4th now.
That CME came/is coming from sunspot 1967 which NOAA is now giving a 50% chance of producing a X-class flare and a 80% chance of producing a M-class flare. It is now geo-effective, so lets hope for the X-flare and a huge CME to follow. We've had lots and lots of M-class flares over the last 24-48 hours. Hopefully this is a good sign that we'll have some geomagnetic activity soon.
Collection times for EFW:
A: 19:30 - 23:59
B: 17:20 - 22:30
A: 13:40 - 20:40
A: 16:40 - 23:40
B: 12:30 - 19:30
A: 13:30 - 20:20
B: 12:45 - 19:45
A:13:15 - 18:59
A: 19:10 - 20:30
Halley Bay Search Coil Magnetometer :
some nice EMIC wave activity with the late arrival of the CME.
GOES Electron Flux:
The electron levels have stayed at moderate levels, but thee were some dropouts/structure.
GOES Proton Flux:
The proton levels are at moderate levels but there were some dropouts from the start of the SI
Solar wind speed: 365.6 km/s
Solar proton density: 4.2 cm^(-3)
Sun spot number: 163
NOAA has the likelihood of a M class flare at 80% and a 50% chance of an X class flare.
There are currently no large coronal holes observed on the Earthward side of the Sun, but one is starting to peak around.
Kp is quiet
kp =2 with a 24 max of kp = 2
Bz = 3.1 north
Btotal = 6.4 nT