Saturday, January 4, 2014

BARREL Daily Update Jan 4 2014

Hi All, 

We had an unexpected launch opportunity today at Halley! 2K was launched around noon there time. We also may see a launch from SANAE later today as well if the winds die down there. 

The coronal hole which had been producing a lot of substorm activity is moving beyond being geo-effective. However later this week or so we should have the large and active sunspot region becoming geo-effective. It is currently producing many M class flares and some space weather predictors on twitter have stated that they haven't seen a region like this since 2011. Fingers crossed it waits to really explode until it's geo-effective. 

Ground Weather:
Temp.: -10 C
Wind speed: 24. knots 

Halley 6: 
Temp.: -4.8 C
Wind speed: 4 knots 

Payloads up: Next possibly launch from Halley Monday or Sunday
Halley 6:  2T, 2I, 2K

Payloads coming down:

Collection times for EFW: 

2013-12-31 (nice pass just to West of stations)
A: 16:00 - 18:00 (mlts from 12 - 13.5)
     19:45 - 21:45 (mlts from 14.5 - 16)
B: 17:15 - 19:30 (mlts from 12-14)
     20:00 - 22:30 (mlts from 14-16)

2014-01-01 (pass quite a ways to the West of stations)
A: 19:15 - 20:45 (mlts from 12 - 13)
     23:00 - 2014-01-02/00:30 (mlts from 14.5 - 16)
B: 20:00 - 21:30 (mlts from 11 - 13)

2014-01-02 (pass quite a ways to the West of stations)
B: 00:30 - 02:00 (mlts from 15 - 14.9)

A: 17:15-18:45 (MLTs 15-17)       Partial pass b/t stations
B: 14:00-15:30 (MLTs 11.6-13) Pass b/t stations
B: 17:40-19:40 (MLTs (14.5-16) Pass just west of stations

A: 16:00-17:30 (MLTs 11.5-13) Pass to West of stations
A: 19:10-21:40 (MLTs 14-16.5)
B: 17:10-18:40 (MLTs 11.5-13)
B: 21:15-22:45 (MLTs 14.5-16)

2013-01-04 to 2013-01-05   Far to West pass
A: 18:50-20:20 (MLTs 11.3-12.8)
A: 22:50-00:20(jan5)   (MLTs 15-16)
B: 20:15-21:40 (MLTs 11.5-13)

A: 16:20-18:20 (MLTs 14.5-16.2)   pass b/t stations
B: 00:40(jan5) - 2:00(jan5)   (MLTs 15-16.3)
B: 14:20-16:20 (MLTs 11.6-13.4)   pass b/t and West of stations
B: 18:00-20:00 (MLTs 14.3-16.3)

2013-01-06 (A just to West, B quite a ways to West)
A: 15:40-21:30   (6h 10m)
B: 17:30-19:30         (2h)
 B: 20:30-23:00  (2h 30m)

2013-01-07 (A quite west, B very west of stations)
A: 19:00-21:00 (2h)
A: 22:30-23:59 (1h 30m)
B: 20:45-21:45 (1h)
B: 00:45Jan8-02:00Jan8         (2h 15m)

2013-01-08 (A passes b/t stations, B just to West)
A: 17:30-18:30         (1h)
B: 14:30-16:30         (2h) Over Halley station
B: 18:00-20:00  (2h)
2013-01-09  (A just to West, B quite a ways to West)
A: 15:15-21:15         (6h)
B: 17:30-20:30 (3h)
B:  21:00-23:00 (2hrs)

Halley Bay Search Coil Magnetometer :
some ULF wave activity with some possibly very faint and short EMIC waves. Not much thus far today. 

GOES Electron Flux:
Electron flux at GOES are still elevated.  

GOES Proton Flux:
The proton flux has returned to normal and is expected to stay normal over the next three days. 

Space Weather from and 
Solar wind speed: 482.8 km/s 
Solar proton density: 1.6 cm^(-3)  

Sun spot number: 162
NOAA has the likelihood of a M class flare at 75% and a 30% chance of an X class flare.  

Kp is quiet 
kp = 2 with a 24 max of kp = 3

Bz = 1.8 nT south
Btotal = 4.7 nT  

The coronal hole is starting to rotate off the Earthward facing side of the Sun and as expected, the SW speeds are starting to decrease. However it looks like there may be another one starting to rotate onto the Earthward facing side of the sun. 

From Kyoto:
AE: Currently there is some small activity but last night was very active!  

Dst: Very quiet.  

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